Forecast Player and FPL Team Performance Based on Bookmaker Odds for up the Next 8 GWs.

Tool Methodology Methodology

Phase One: Next GW Forecast
The latest bookmaker odds are used in this tool with margins removed for Clean Sheets, Player Goals and Team Goals. Projected Assists are deduced from historic xG data for each player and the bookmakers predicted scorelines for each match.

Bookings, Red Cards, Own Goals and Saves are also forecast on a player specific basis. Bonus points are determined following a probabilistic simulation influenced by the bookmaker data, xG data and historic analysis of the BPS system.

Phase Two: Forecasting Beyond the Next GW
Phase Two is the key to the FPL Review algorithm. The latest bookmaker odds are collected and added to the background database, the algorithm learns from this data and remaps it's model. With the brain behind the FPL Review algorithm refreshed forecasts for future GWs can be made as per Phase One.

Accuracy
Please check out this in depth review of the FPL Review forecasting algorithm.

How to Use this Tool How to Use this Tool
  1. Enter the amount of GWs to forecast you wish to investigate and authenticate a session with FPL by entering your email and password- this will load up any changes and transfer made since the last GW. If you do not want to enter these details please use the basic Team Planner tool which only requires Team Code input
  2. Update each players expected minutes value to what you believe would be a realistic average expectation over the period forecast. Try out the 'Expected Minutes Calculator' on the right of the screen if you are unsure.
  3. Search for players and make transfers to optimise team selection.

Input the amount of gameweeks to forecast
Input Email Address Used for FPL Account
Input Password Used for FPL Account